Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust is up 34% this year. Is it too late to buy now?

Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust has outperformed the FTSE 100 index by a wide margin over the last year. Can SMT keep outperforming?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

When I covered Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (LSE: SMT) in mid-September last year, I said it had considerable investment appeal as part of a diversified portfolio. “I’m backing it to continue outperforming in the years ahead,” I wrote at the time.

Since then, the investment trust has certainly outperformed. This year, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust’s share price is up about 34%. By contrast, the FTSE 100 index (which it’s actually a member of) is down roughly 17%. Is it too late to buy SMT now?

I don’t think so. However, there are some risks you should be aware of.

Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust review

Before I look at the investment case for SMT, it’s worth recapping what this trust actually does, because its name is a little confusing.

Scottish Mortgage is an actively-managed, low-cost investment trust that invests in growth companies listed around the world. The flagship investment trust of investment manager Baillie Gifford, it has absolutely nothing to do with Scottish mortgages. Instead, it predominantly invests in high-growth, disruptive technology companies with the aim of maximising total returns over the long term.

Here’s a look at the top 30 holdings as of 31 May.

Company  Weighting (%)
Tesla Inc 11.10%
Amazon.com 9.30%
Illumina 6.60%
Tencent 5.70%
Alibaba 5.60%
ASML 3.70%
Delivery Hero 3.10%
Meituan Dianping 3.10%
Netflix 2.80%
Kering 2.50%
Ferrari 2.40%
NVIDIA 2.20%
Spotify 2.10%
Ant International 1.80%
Alphabet 1.50%
Ginkgo BioWorks 1.40%
Inditex 1.40%
Shopify 1.40%
Zalando 1.40%
HelloFresh 1.30%
Wayfair 1.30%
Tempus Labs Inc 1.20%
You & Mr Jones 1.10%
Workday 1.10%
Intuitive Surgical 1.00%
Pinduoduo 1.00%
Atlas Copco 1.00%
Zoom Video Communications 0.90%
MercadoLibre 0.90%
Vir Biotechnology 0.80%

US tech stocks are driving the SMT share price higher

As you can see, Scottish Mortgage has a strong focus on disruptive tech companies, many of which are listed in the US.

It’s this technology focus that explains why the trust’s share price has soared recently. This year, the US technology sector has been on fire. Tesla, for example, is up around 130%. Amazon is up about 40%. Meanwhile, Zoom Video Communications is up a huge 240%.

It doesn’t surprise me that technology stocks are outperforming this year. The world has been experiencing a digital revolution for years now, and Covid-19 has turbocharged this revolution. All of a sudden, we’re working from home more, shopping from home more, and enjoying more digital entertainment at home. Tech companies are benefiting.

Can tech stocks keep charging higher in the short term? I’m not so sure. Right now, the valuations on a lot of tech stocks do look a little stretched. Yet, long term, I do think the prospects for the tech sector remain attractive. In 20 years’ time, I expect companies such as Amazon and Alphabet (Google) to be much bigger than they are today.

Scottish Mortgage: risks to be aware of

Ultimately, there’s the risk of a pullback here in the short term. Tech stocks have enjoyed a fantastic run this year and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a near-term correction. This could hit Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust’s share price.

However, from a long-term point of view, Scottish Mortgage continues to have plenty of potential, to my mind. I think the current tech revolution could last for years, if not decades. As technology continues to have a major impact on the world in the years ahead, Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust should benefit.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

Edward Sheldon owns shares in Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, and Alphabet. John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Alphabet (C shares), Amazon, and Tesla and recommends the following options: short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon and long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Publish Test

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut…

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP P-Press Update Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test as Author

Test content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post 2

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test PP Status

Test content. Test headline

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post

This is my content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Tag Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

Testing testing one two three

Sample paragraph here, testing, test duplicate

Read more »