Could the Tesco share price help you retire early despite the rising State Pension age?

If you don’t want to work until you drop, you have to invest in shares, says Harvey Jones. Is Tesco plc (LON:TSCO) worth your attention?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

The state pension age is now 65 for men and women and is set to hit 66 by 2020, then continue rising . You can boost your hopes of a comfortable retirement by investing in top UK growth and income stocks. Should you consider these two?

Simply Majestic

These are tough times for every retailer, whether £20bn FTSE 100-listed grocery giant Tesco (LSE: TSCO) or £238m vino specialist Majestic Wine (LSE: WINE). Majestic is down almost 13% as its half-year results showed a reported loss before tax of £200,000, against a profit of £3.1m last time.

Group CEO Rowan Gormley put it bluntly: We’re doing well in a tough market.” He said Majestic set out a plan in April and is delivering on it. “That plan was to accelerate growth by investing in new customers and, so far, the plan is on track.” 

Lack of sparkle

Today’s figures showed group revenue up 5.4%, boosted by its previously announced investment plan, while underlying growth at its Naked Wines operation accelerated from 11.6% to 14% year-on-year. However, this is costing money with new customer investment in Naked up £3m to £7.9m. As Gormley put it: “We’ve been investing more, and as a result profits are down.”

He said the group is on track to meet its £500m full-year sales target while warning the market is tough. Anticipated growth this year now looks likely to be “flat at best”, hence the share price rout.

Wine and dine

I like Gormley’s straight talk. We were planning for tough times and we’re investing through tough times because we know that’s the route to a more profitable future,” he said. I also like that its business is now almost 45% online and more than 20% international, but I can’t raise a glass to its pricey forecast valuation of 24.5 times earnings, which has been a worry for some time.

Majestic is down 35% over five years but Tesco is down a heftier 41%, despite CEO Dave Lewis’s impressive overhaul, including the £4bn purchase of wholesaler Booker Group, which already appears to be bearing fruit. Like all the big supermarkets, it is under huge pressure from German discounters, and there is little sign of that easing in any way, as Aldi and Lidl now have a 13.1% share of the market between them.

Tesco to go

Tesco is still more than twice their size at 27.5%, according to Kantar Worldpanel, although is continuing its slow slide since it dipped below 30% in January 2012. Tesco has done well to hold on to what it’s got, but investors have not reaped the benefit. I am wary of a business with group operating margins of just 2.94%, although it recently declared itself on track to achieve its ambition of 3.5%-4% by 2019/20.

Earnings per share growth forecasts look promising, at 17% and 20% over the next two years, while its valuation is a reasonable 14.5 times forward earnings. The dividend is in recovery and investors now get a forward yield of 2.5%, covered 2.7 times, giving scope for future progression. Analysts are predicting a 3.6% yield by 2020. 

However, my colleague Royston Wild expects that Tesco’s share price will keep sliding and I also think there are better options for your pension.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

harveyj has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Tesco. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Publish Test

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut…

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP P-Press Update Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test as Author

Test content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post 2

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test PP Status

Test content. Test headline

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post

This is my content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Tag Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

Testing testing one two three

Sample paragraph here, testing, test duplicate

Read more »