Is the Astra Space share price a bargain?

The Astra Space share price has plummeted 40% since the start of the year. As the firm released guidance for the future, is the share price now a bargain?

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Key Points

  • Astra Space's share price is down 40% this year.
  • With an increase in deal value, healthy cash balance, and zero debt, the share price has huge upside to it, I feel.
  • The introduction of rocket 4 could be a game-changer.

Astra Space (NASDAQ: ASTR) is — as the names suggests — a space launch company that operates specifically in the field of small launch vehicles. It sends small rockets into space to deliver satellites and other payloads for customers. It also does so at the fraction of the cost of its competitors. So, with the Astra Space share price down over 40% year to date (YTD), and the firm releasing its latest results yesterday along with guidance for the future, I’m wondering whether to add more shares to my portfolio.

Cash is king

With early-stage growth companies like this, I always pay close attention to two financial variables — cash and debt. Fortunately, Astra reported healthy balance sheet numbers. The company finished the year with $325m in cash and equivalents as well as zero debt. Although total cash came in lower than in Q3 2021, I was relieved to see cash burn decrease from $68m to $53m. This eases my nerves as Astra may be able to develop and scale its services without having to significantly dilute its shares to raise capital in the near future.

Bigger rocket share

Aside from cash and debt, I pay an equal amount of attention to total deal value, because it gives an indication of future cash flows. This is the total amount Astra could stand to make from launch contracts. Astra’s deal value didn’t increase exponentially due to the smaller capacity on its Rocket 3 limiting the number of customers it can do business with, but there was still a 33% increase year-on-year to $160m. Nonetheless, with Astra’s latest payload success and cheaper prices than its competitors Rocket Lab and Virgin Orbit, I have confidence that CEO Chris Kemp and his team have got what it takes to grab a bigger market share as Astra continues to scale.

Rocket 4 customers

When Chris Kemp went on CNBC last month, he mentioned that customers from the now-sanctioned Soyuz service could switch to Astra. This sent the Astra share price soaring 31%. However, its Rocket 3 can only support less than half of Soyuz’s customers due to its weight limit. Astra also lost a potential customer in OneWeb that chose to launch its satellites with SpaceX instead. When questioned about this on the earnings call, Kemp mentioned Astra’s ambitions to create Rocket 4, which will be able to accommodate heavier satellites. He also spoke about the introduction of a new launch system that will be more efficient and effective, and will be on display at its upcoming launches later this month.

Making progress

Despite the pros, I remain cautious. Although the company recently launched its first successful payload, there’s always a possibility that the next launch is a failure, hindering progress and profits. The soaring prices of aluminium that Astra uses to build its rockets could dent profit margins too.

Nevertheless, having witnessed Astra overcome many hurdles, I have faith in Kemp and his team. The 33-day period between its last two launches shows it’s getting closer to its target of weekly launches by 2023 as the gap between launches is narrowing. Therefore, with the Astra Space share price currently slumbering, I see it as a bargain and this as a good time to pick up more shares for my portfolio.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

John Choong owns shares of Astra Space at the time of writing. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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