I think this growth stock could explode in 2022!

Dan Appleby is analysing this small-cap growth stock as he sees explosive potential for 2022. Is the market mispricing the shares, and should he buy today?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

Spectra Systems (LSE: SPSY) is a small-cap growth stock that I’ve followed for a number of years. Recently, the share price has underperformed and is down almost 8% this year alone. However, this does mask a 500%+ return since the end of 2016.

Today, I’m looking at this growth stock again to see if I should buy more shares for my portfolio. Let’s take a closer look.

The business

Spectra Systems is a leader in providing security technology, including software and advanced materials. Its core revenue generation comes from authentication and processing of banknotes.

Spectra’s banknote authentication technology is top secret as it’s used by global central banks, including two G7 banks. While it authenticates at Level I and II – public level authentication – Level III is the covert one. This has to be unbreakable as it needs to prevent state-sponsored counterfeiting. For example, a foreign country flooding another country’s economy with fake banknotes.

There’s some caution here because of the increase in use of digital payments (not to mention cryptocurrencies). This may impact SPSY’s banknote authentication revenues in the future. However, as the technology is used at Level III authentication, as long as there are any banknotes in circulation then there’s a risk of state-sponsored counterfeiting. It means the firm’s tech will still be required.

The company also offers various other brand security services for a wide range of consumer products and lotteries.

Attractive fundamentals

For being a small-cap growth stock with a pipeline of development opportunities, the company achieves very strong financial numbers. For example, the most recent gross margin was a high 69%, and the operating margin an impressive 36%.

It’s is cash generative, and is able to pay a respectable dividend. The current dividend yield is 4.6%, which I consider attractive considering it’s investing in its development pipeline too.

Recent results show growth stock characteristics

The company released its interim results in September that were in line with the board’s expectations. Revenue grew 23%, and adjusted earnings per share rose by a huge 45%. Cash on the balance sheet increased to $12.8m, which was up from $10.9m. The company is on track to achieve record earnings for the full year.

Since the interim results, it announced that one of its longstanding central bank customers placed a new order as part of another five-year renewal agreement. Based on this renewal, results should now exceed market expectations for the year. The share price has fallen since this release, so I don’t think the market is pricing in the potential for Spectra Systems.

Is this growth stock a buy?

Because of the small size of this growth stock, it flies under the radar of research analysts and institutions, which means it’s hard to get accurate forecasts. It might be considered as higher-risk due to the lack of research on the stock, but I see it as an opportunity. Spectra Systems has recognised the lack of research into the company and recently appointed Allenby Capital to provide extra brokerage and analysis.

I think this growth stock will outperform in 2022 if the market prices the shares correctly for the growth ahead. There’s a risk that rising digital payments limit its banknote authentication business, but SPSY is diversified across other sectors. It’s a buy for my portfolio.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

Dan Appleby owns shares of Spectra Systems. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Publish Test

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut…

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP P-Press Update Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test as Author

Test content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post 2

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test PP Status

Test content. Test headline

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post

This is my content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Tag Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

Testing testing one two three

Sample paragraph here, testing, test duplicate

Read more »