Here’s what I think investors are missing about the BP share price

Rupert Hargreaves explains why he thinks the BP share price does not accurately reflect the company’s potential over the next 10 years.

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I can understand why some investors might look at the BP (LSE: BP) share price and decide to stay away from the company.

The group is one of the largest public oil producers globally, which used to be a huge asset. Today it is a liability.

As the world starts to move away from hydrocarbon energy, activists are targeting companies like BP for their role in climate change. So far, challenges against these organisations have been limited.

However, some analysts have speculated they could eventually be forced to pay to clean up their environmental damage. This is just speculation at this stage, but it shows how the tide is turning. 

With this potential threat lurking in the background, I can see why some investors would want to avoid BP. 

But there is far more to the company than its oil and gas production assets. This is what I think the mark is overlooking. 

Many different businesses

BP’s operations produce nearly two million barrels of oil per day. This is only part of the group’s operations. It also refines oil, makes petrochemical products, transports hydrocarbons and trades energy. That is without giving the company any credit for its rapidly expanding renewable energy business. 

I believe the world will reduce oil consumption over the next few decades. Nevertheless, there will still be a demand for products such as fertiliser and oil derivatives. Some forms of plastic are not going to go away anytime soon, and neither is asphalt or wax. Alternatives are being developed, but many are still in the early stages of development. 

And if the oil market closes overnight, BP’s energy traders may still be able to earn a profit for the company. 

Then there is the group’s growing renewable energy business. BP aims to establish a pipeline of renewable energy projects totalling 20GW by 2025 and 50GW by the end of the decade. 

What I think the market is missing is even if oil demand slowly declines over the next decade, BP should be able to replace lost profits from this business with sales from its renewable energy division.

It also seems unlikely demand for oil and gas will disappear entirely, considering how many products are based around hydrocarbons. 

BP share price outlook 

Put simply, I think the market is focusing too much on the worst-case scenario for the corporation. Instead, I would focus on BP’s ability to ride and grow with the energy transition. It has the financial resources and international footprint to become a leading renewable energy company while still meeting the demand for petrochemical products. 

That is why I would take advantage of the market’s current opinion of the stock. I would acquire the shares while they offer a 4.5% dividend yield and trade at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 7.8. 

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

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