BAE share price: can it rise again?

The BAE share price is down 12% year-to-date, but it’s a defensive stock with a strong order book and I think it’s undervalued.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

FTSE 100 defence giant BAE Systems (LSE:BA) has endured a disappointing 2020 so far. The BAE share price is down around 12% year-to-date.

But when the world is reeling from a pandemic, the economic fallout and geopolitical concerns around the globe, I find it surprising that such a prominent defence company is not thriving. The British multinational defence and aerospace company is the largest defence contractor in Europe. It manufactures armoured vehicles, drones, ships and aircraft and has prominent customers across the globe. Taking a step back to look at the bigger picture, I think BAE Systems will continue to win contracts and grow in the medium-to-longer term. This cements my view that it is a good defensive stock to own in a Stocks and Shares ISA.

While some may have concerns that the mounting global debt could cause governments to slash their defence budgets, I think ongoing international security issues will keep defence budgets intact for the foreseeable future.

Strong financials and healthy order book

BAE has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 11 and earnings per share are 46p. The board suspended its dividend (with a 4.6% yield) earlier in the Covid-19 outbreak, but plans to reconsider it once the financial outlook is clearer.

I think a P/E of 11 is low for a company with this level of stability, which makes me think investors undervalue it. I imagine many investors will pile back in to this stock once the dividend is reinstated, so it could be sensible to get in early before a surge of buyers pushes the BAE share price back up again.

The firm has a targeted free cash flow generation of £3.5bn to £3.8bn for 2020 to 2022.

Whether during a rally or a market crash, I would buy BAE shares for my long-term investment portfolio.

Wine share price surges

Another stock worth considering is Naked Wines (LSE:WINE). The naked wines share price has surged since the March stock market crash. And while the BAE share price has stumbled along, the WINE share price is up over 67% year-to-date.

Today’s positive results explain this, with news that its revenue soared 81% during the first two months of its financial year ending 2021. This further boosted the Naked Wines share price, which is up another 5% this morning.

WINE has a market cap of £282m. Full-year results for 2020 show continuing operations were slightly ahead of expectations. Revenue of £203m was up 14% year-on-year. Total profit for the period is £8.2m and the balance sheet remains strong with net cash of £55m. Like many companies operating in the current economic uncertainty, WINE opted not to provide full financial guidance until the outlook is clearer. But it said it expects fixed costs of £28m to £30m for the financial year 2021.

While I think the BAE share price is in bargain territory, Naked Wines’ share price could be overvalued at its current level. It has a P/E of 25, which is quite high, although it makes some sense as its online sales have surged during the lockdown, this may not be sustainable once people resume drinking in bars, pubs and restaurants. I would buy BAE shares at any time, but I would wait for a dip on the back of stock market volatility to buy shares in WINE.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

Kirsteen has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Publish Test

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut…

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP P-Press Update Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test as Author

Test content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post 2

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test PP Status

Test content. Test headline

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post

This is my content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Tag Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

Testing testing one two three

Sample paragraph here, testing, test duplicate

Read more »