1 FTSE 100 share I’d buy and 1 I’d avoid during this coronavirus stock market crash

Jonathan Smith outlines his case for buying shares in FTSE 100 firm Flutter Entertainment, while avoiding Carnival.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

There is plenty going on among FTSE 100 shares at the moment. The stock market bounced above 6,000 points last week, ending a stellar April. This was matched by several hundred points lost at the end of the week.

For investors, this presents some good opportunities, but also some warning signs on stocks to avoid.

Worth a punt

Flutter Entertainment (LSE: FLTR) is the company that houses well-known betting names such as Paddy Power and Betfair. If you look at the share price performance, the market believes the company has ridden out the virus well thus far. The share price is up 5.6% year-to-date, compared to the FTSE 100 average of −25%.

Recently, the stock has seen a boost from the confirmed merger with Stars Group. Stars Group is a Canadian gambling company, and the merger highlights Flutter’s desire to diversify via international expansion. In a recent trading update, Flutter showed that revenue from US operations grew by 72%, and from Australian operations grew by 32%.

This worldwide exposure should help the business going forward. Should gambling laws, taxes, advertising, or other aspects of business be changed negatively in one country, Flutter can lean on operations in another country to make up the shortfall. Further, even with global lockdowns still in place, increase in digital betting over recent years should ease pressure from closed physical locations. For me, this makes the firm a buy.

Too late to the carnival

Carnival (LSE: CCL) is a cruise liner operator in the FTSE 100. The firm has seen a large amount of news coverage this year due to the impact the virus has had on revenues. Unfortunately, a cruise ship is the last place anybody wanted to be due to the social distancing measures in place.

Even when lockdowns eventually get lifted, Carnival could struggle due to the target consumer. The firm targets the older audience, for high ticket trips over a relatively long period. This demographic is unlikely to provide the rebound in demand the firm needs to avoid financial hardship this year. 

We have already seen the impact that the virus has had via the share price moves. Currently, the share price is down 72% this year alone. A recent report said the firm was bleeding $1bn per month. Even though Carnival managed to raise around $4bn in a recent bond issuance, it had to do so with an interest rate of 11.5%.

While it gets the cash in the short run, the interest/coupon payments at this rate are only going to hurt the firm in the longer term. In my opinion, these measures are like putting a small plaster on a large wound. For these reasons I would avoid investing in the share price.

My Foolish takeaway for FTSE 100 shares

Yes we are seeing unpredictable volatility at the moment, but this doesn’t have to be a bad thing. Firms such as Flutter Entertainment offer good value for investors, and a sound growth strategy which should last beyond the virus. Yet, not every business will do well in this period, so be sure to do your homework before investing.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

Jonathan Smith does not own shares in any firm mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of Flutter Entertainment. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Carnival. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Publish Test

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut…

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP P-Press Update Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test as Author

Test content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post 2

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test PP Status

Test content. Test headline

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post

This is my content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Tag Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

Testing testing one two three

Sample paragraph here, testing, test duplicate

Read more »