Back in April, I remarked that I would continue to avoid buying shares in FTSE 100 communications giant Vodafone (LSE: VOD) until the clearly unsustainable dividend was reduced to a more sensible level.
Last week, this came to pass with new-ish CEO Nick Read announcing that the £33bn cap and income favourite would be slashing its payout to a total of 9 euro cents per share (7.9p) from the 15.07 euro cents (13p) paid last year. Â
You can read more about Vodafone’s results for the year to the end of March in my Foolish colleague Harvey Jones’s piece from the day. So, will I now be piling in? Not yet.
Part of my reasoning behind this is simply because the stock hasn’t bounced as I thought it might.
Indeed, it would appear that many investors are continuing to dump the shares, perhaps more concerned by the fact that management believed only a few months ago that the dividend wouldn’t need to be cut, rather than by the eventual cut itself.
Certainly, this big U-turn doesn’t exactly inspire confidence and, in my opinion, devalues talk of adopting a progressive dividend policy from now on. Quite why Read — Vodafone’s former finance director — didn’t bite the bullet and elect to rebase it earlier this year still perplexes me.Â
What’s more, I’m not over-the-moon regarding the extent to which the company’s new dividend will be covered by profits.
Cover of roughly 1.3 times earnings is clearly a huge improvement on where it used to be, but I can’t help thinking the 6.4% yield might still not be completely safe if market conditions worsen.Â
News of a dividend cut may help in making Vodafone a slightly less risky buy but, with so much investment needed, so much debt on its books and such a competitive landscape (particularly in Spain and Italy), the share price needs to come down even further to really get me interested.Â
A tastier alternative
An example of a dividend and growth stock I’m far more positive on would be FTSE 250 drinks giant Britvic (LSE: BVIC).
On the income side of things, the company has a long history of raising its cash payouts, albeit modestly.
This year, analysts are predicting a 4.5% increase to 29.5p per share, leaving the stock yielding 3.2%.
That’s clearly a lot less than Vodafone but, on the flip side, it is likely to be covered twice by profits. Moreover, dividend hikes are far more preferable to a supersized-but-stagnant yield, in my opinion. The former smacks of a company in rude health. The latter suggests an inevitable cut when the business cycle turns.Â
Britvic also trades on a little under 16 times earnings, despite having already performed very well indeed over the last year or so.
A dip in profit growth is expected this year, but things are expected to rebound in 2020, helping to bring an already-reasonable valuation even lower, to a P/E of 15.Â
That might not be as cheap as some other companies offering far higher yields, but its defensive qualities, strong brands (such as Robinsons, J2O and R Whites), consistently solid returns on capital employed and manageable debt levels make me far more likely to buy its shares.Â
Britvic releases half-year figures to the market next Wednesday. I’d be surprised if there were anything for investors to worry about.