Have £1,000 to invest? Why I’d buy FTSE 100-member Whitbread despite stock market crash fears

Whitbread plc (LON: WTB) could offer long-term outperformance of the FTSE 100 (INDEXFTSE: UKX).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

The recent performance of the FTSE 100 has been relatively disappointing. While it may not have been a stock market ‘crash’, it appears to have experienced a ‘correction’, which meant that it was trading as much as 11% below its all-time high.

During such situations, it can be difficult to know whether to buy or sell shares. The reality, though, is that the stock market has always recovered from challenging periods, and so market corrections could be a good time to buy shares, such as Whitbread (LSE: WTB).

The hospitality giant appears to have strong growth potential, having the opportunity to outperform a sector peer that released a trading update on Friday.

Difficult period

The company in question is Millennium & Copthorne (LSE: MLC). The hotel operator’s third quarter showed that it has experienced mixed trading conditions, although like-for-like (LFL) revenue per available room (RevPAR) increased by 1.5% in the first nine months of the year. At constant currency, hotel revenue for the first three quarters of the year was flat.

The company faced challenging trading conditions, with them impacting on the wider hospitality industry. There have been pressures such as rising minimum wage requirements, technological disruption and industry consolidation. Alongside geopolitical risks, they are having a negative impact on the company’s performance. Furthermore, the business is still without a permanent CEO, although it did reappoint its interim CEO on Friday.

Looking ahead, Millennium & Copthorne is expected to post a fall in earnings of 17% this year. This suggests that its share price performance could deteriorate – especially since it trades on a relatively generous price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 16.

Growth potential

In contrast, Whitbread has the potential to deliver improving financial performance. Its position in the UK budget hospitality sector remains strong, and it could benefit from weak consumer confidence. As was the case following the financial crisis, consumers may become increasingly price-conscious as the Brexit process continues. This may lead to them trading down to cheaper options such as the company’s Premier Inn brand.

The sale of Costa means that the business will be focused on its hotel chain. Alongside the potential for expansion in the UK, the company may also be able to offer international growth. It already has a foothold in Germany, where it believes it has the opportunity to become a major player in what is a relatively fragmented industry. And with its business model seemingly sound, the stock may be able to diversify its geographic exposure yet further in future years.

While Whitbread trades on a P/E ratio of 17.2, the company is expected to post positive earnings growth in each of the next two years. It also has a sound long-term growth outlook which could mean that it’s able to deliver share price increases over the long term. As such, now could be the right time to buy it, despite fears surrounding the near-term outlook for the FTSE 100.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

Peter Stephens owns shares of Whitbread. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Publish Test

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut…

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP P-Press Update Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test as Author

Test content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post 2

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test PP Status

Test content. Test headline

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post

This is my content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Tag Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

Testing testing one two three

Sample paragraph here, testing, test duplicate

Read more »