I’d sell this FTSE 100 dividend star to buy this 6% yielder instead

The FTSE 100 is full of top dividend stocks, but some of these companies are better dividend buys than others. 

Indeed, finding a top dividend stock requires more than just buying the share with the highest dividend yield. You have to be sure that the payout is sustainable, the last thing you want is to be on the receiving end of a dividend cut, which could wipe out years of income gains with capital losses in just a few seconds. 

This is why I’m cautious of BAE Systems (LSE: BA) as an income investment. 

Struggling for growth 

Shares in BAE currently support a dividend yield of 4%, and the payout is covered twice by earnings per share. However, over the past five years, the company has struggled to grow earnings per share, and the dividend has been held back as a result. 

For example, between 2012 and 2016, earnings per share ticked higher by only 4%. Analysts are expecting growth of 8% this year and management is guiding for an increase of 5% to 10%. This is a positive development, although I’d want to see a record of several years of growth like this before changing my mind on BAE’s dividend capabilities. 

As well as sluggish earnings growth, the company’s pension deficit is also proving to be a headache. Today the company confirmed that it would increase payments into the schemes from about £205m a year to £220m from 2018 with payments rising in line with group dividends. Payments are scheduled to end in 2026 after the company has filled its £2.1bn pension hole. 

Rewarding investors 

For the fiscal year to the end of July, Go-Ahead Group (LSE: GOG) devoted £37m to topping up its pension schemes, a relatively minor sum compared to the group’s £3.5bn in revenue for the period. This is just one of the reasons why I believe that as an income investment, it is a much better buy than BAE. 

Shares in Go-Ahead support a dividend yield of 6.4% and trade at a forward P/E of only 9. BAE meanwhile trades at a forward P/E of 12.6. So, it is cheaper and offers a better level of income. The company also operates in a less regulated industry than BAE giving it more flexibility regarding investment and expansion. 

Over the past five years, the group’s earnings per share have risen from 118p to 219p allowing management to increase the dividend by 26%. 

Over the past year or so, Go-Ahead has been hit by strikes at its key Southern Rail franchise, but now it looks as if these stoppages are behind it. Today it announced that after a relatively undisrupted summer, train revenues rose 2.5% despite a 1% fall in passenger journeys. 

The update notes that thanks to this performance, the group is trading in line with City expectations, which indicates to me that the shares are worth more than their current discounted multiple.