Is Upside At Greggs plc Already Baked In?

Profits at Greggs plc (LON:GRG) rise by 48%.

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

greggs_shopShares in the high-street baker Greggs (LSE: GRG) rose by over 4% in early trade this morning, following strong half-time results. But can the company continue its progress with its current strategic plan?

Let’s look at today’s figures. Total sales increased by 3.1% to £373m against £362m in the first half of 2013, while own shop like-for-like sales saw a rise of 3.2%, arresting a 2.9% decline seen at the halfway mark last year. Significantly, pre-tax profit (excluding exceptional items) saw a 48% uplift to £16.9m (2013: £11.4m).

One possible cause of concern, though, is saturation. With 1,661 shops trading across the country as at the end of June, the period saw 36 stores closed as opposed to 26 new shops opening. However, part of Greggs’ strategy is to improve and introduce a ‘great shopping experience’, and 131 shop refurbishments in the first half is a positive sign of this.

Elsewhere in the business, Greggs seems to be scoring highly on the ‘value for money’ front, as it extends its meal deals to include a wider variety of options, as well as increasingly health-conscious customers, launching new ‘Balanced Choice’ products with fewer than 400 calories. It also aims to capture a share of the ‘coffee commuter’ market, introducing a new improved coffee blend which has seen strong sales growth.

Finally, the dividend. Management maintained the dividend at 6p per share, which still represents a 3.9% yield. Compare this to the FTSE 100 average of 3.42%, and I’d argue that Greggs makes a strong case for inclusion in your portfolio as an income share.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

Sam Robson owns shares of Greggs. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the shares mentioned.

More on Company Comment

A man with Down's syndrome serves a customer a pint of beer in a pub.
Investing Articles

Test article SR

125 to 155 characters something something test

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman looking out of the window with a look of consternation on her face
Investing Articles

I don’t care if FTSE 100 shares fall further, I’m buying them today

I'm happy to go shopping for FTSE 100 shares today, even though I accept that they could have further to…

Read more »

Happy young female stock-picker in a cafe
Investing Articles

Rolls-Royce shares are down 18% in a month and I’m finally going to buy them

Investors who bought Rolls-Royce shares have been repeatedly disappointed, but I'm willing to take a chance on them before they…

Read more »

Storytelling image of a multiethnic senior couple in love - Elderly married couple dating outdoors, love emotions and feelings
Investing Articles

How I’d invest £10k in a Stocks and Shares ISA today

Now looks like a good time to buy cheap FTSE 100 shares inside a Stocks and Shares ISA. These are…

Read more »

Black father holding daughter in a field of cows
Investing Articles

Today’s financial crisis is the perfect moment to buy cheap shares

I'm building a portfolio of FTSE 100 stocks by purchasing cheap shares whenever I see an opportunity. There's a good…

Read more »

Long-term vs short-term investing concept on a staircase
Investing Articles

I’d buy Tesco shares in October to bag their 5.4% yield 

Tesco shares have fallen lately but I think this makes them attractively valued for a dividend stock I would aim…

Read more »

Young mixed-race woman looking out of the window with a look of consternation on her face
Investing Articles

I would do anything to hold Diageo in my portfolio (but I won’t do that)

Diageo is one of my favourite stocks on the entire FTSE 100 and I'd love to hold it, but one…

Read more »

BUY AND HOLD spelled in letters on top of a pile of books. Alongside is a piggy bank in glasses. Buy and hold is a popular long term stock and shares strategy.
Investing Articles

I reckon today’s crisis is a great time to buy Lloyds shares

Today's "dysfunctional" stock markets are hitting good companies through no fault of their own. I'm taking this opportunity to buy…

Read more »