4 Ways GlaxoSmithKline plc Will Continue To Lag The Biotechnology Sector

How does GlaxoSmithKline plc (LON: GSK) compare to its sector peers?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

Right now I’m comparing some of the most popular companies in the FTSE 100 with their sector peers in an attempt to establish which one is the more attractive investment.

Today I’m looking at GlaxoSmithKline (LSE: GSK) (NYSE: GSK.US).

Valuation

Firstly, let’s start with the basics, the company’s valuation.

GlaxoSmithKline trades at a historic P/E ratio of 13.9, which is below the biotechnology sector average of 17.1. That said, Glaxo’s 10-year average historic P/E is around 13, so based on that the company looks to me to be overvalued.

Nonetheless, Glaxo’s close peers, Shire (LSE: SHP) and AstraZeneca (LSE: AZN) (NYSE: AZN.US) trade at historic P/Es of 30 and 8 respectively. So all in all, it’s difficult to establish a correct value for the company.

Balance sheet

  Net-debt-to-assets Interest cover by operating profit
GlaxoSmithKline 34% 10x
AstraZeneca 5% 18x
Shire 5%

Unfortunately, compared to its closest peers it would appear that Glaxo has the highest net debt as a percentage of its assets. In addition, Glaxo’s net debt has expanded a compounded 40% since the beginning of 2008, from around £10 billion to £14.1 billion. In comparison, peer AstraZeneca has reduced net debt by 70% over the same period.

Nonetheless, at the end of 2012 Glaxo had £4.1 billion in cash on its balance sheet, just enough to cover all of its short-term debt falling due within the year. 

Company’s performance

  Earnings growth past five years Net profit margin
GlaxoSmithKline 8% 16%
AstraZeneca 26% 14%
Shire 317% 13%

Rising debt is commonly indicative of a company that is investing for growth, however, this does not seem to be the case for Glaxo. Indeed, Glaxo’s earnings growth during the past five years seriously lags its three closest peers, as shown above.

Furthermore, the company’s net profit margin has recently fallen from a high of 20%, which was seen back during 2011.

Dividends

  Current Dividend Yield Current dividend cover Projected annual dividend growth for next two years.
GlaxoSmithKline 4.7% 1.5 6%
AstraZeneca 5.5% 2.3 2%
Shire 0.4% 7.7 38%
Sector average 4.5% 1.3  

Once again, Glaxo lags its closest peer AstraZeneca when it comes to dividends paid out to shareholders.

Granted, Glaxo’s dividend growth is expected to outpace that of AstraZeneca during the next two years. However, AstraZeneca’s stronger dividend yield and the fact that the payout is covered nearly two-and-a-half times by earnings gives me more confidence in AstraZeneca’s payout. 

Foolish summary

All in all, Glaxo’s higher than average level of debt and slow earnings growth over the past five years are causes for concern. 

So overall, I feel that GlaxoSmithKline is a much weaker share than its peers. 

RISK WARNING: should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice. The Motley Fool believes in building wealth through long-term investing and so we do not promote or encourage high-risk activities including day trading, CFDs, spread betting, cryptocurrencies, and forex. Where we promote an affiliate partner’s brokerage products, these are focused on the trading of readily releasable securities.

> Rupert does not own any share mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool has recommended GlaxoSmithKline.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Publish Test

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut…

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP P-Press Update Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test as Author

Test content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post 2

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Test PP Status

Test content. Test headline

Read more »

Investing Articles

KM Test Post

This is my content.

Read more »

Investing Articles

JP Tag Test

Read more »

Investing Articles

Testing testing one two three

Sample paragraph here, testing, test duplicate

Read more »